What Does a Second Term for President Obama Mean for Environmental Regulation?
Through out the long and contentious election process the focus of the debate was getting America back to work. Much of the debate centered on tax policy and budget cuts. However, the President was accused of "over-regulation" which Mitt Romney argued cooled the economic recovery.
As part of the debate over regulation, environmental regulation was discussed. The President was accused of waging "a war on coal." Governor Romney also asserted that the President's climate change regulations represented an over-reach.
Now that the election is over and the President has won a second term, what does a second term really mean for forthcoming environmental regulation. Most observers believe the President will be more emboldened in terms of environmental regulation now that he doesn't need to worry about re-election.
Below are some of the areas in terms of environmental regulation that the Obama Administration will likely push forward with:
- Climate Change- Some of environmental groups supporting President Obama hope that he will push forward with a major piece of legislation on climate change. In the President's first term, Democrats came close to passing a cap-and-trade bill that would have put in place the largest new environmental program since creation of the EPA and the early environmental statutes (Clean Air Act, Clean Water Act, Superfund). In reality, new legislation on climate change looks very unlikely. The Re publican's still control the House and the margin is thin for the Democrats in the Senate. Instead, the Administration will continue to implement climate change regulations under EPA's existing authority under the Clean Air Act. This will likely mean lowering the carbon emission thresholds that trigger New Source Review and Title V permitting utilizing the Tailoring Rule. It also means establishing emission standards for new major sources (i.e. New Source Performance Standards).
- Ozone- The President came into office promising to undo the Bush era ozone standard of .75 ppm stating the standard was not based on science. While the EPA proposed lowering the ozone standard it ended up punting on four separate occasions due to pressure from the business community. Now it appears almost a certainty that the EPA will finally move forward with a lower standard of .70 ppm.
- Coal-Fired Power Plant Emission Reductions- This past August the D.C. Circuit Court vacated U.S. EPA's Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) also known at the "Transport Rule." The Transport Rule was the second attempt by EPA to establish emission standards for existing coal-fired power plants. The Transport Rule was blamed for potentially forcing the closure of a significant number of existing power plants threatening to driving up energy prices. CSAPR was the Obama's Administration's effort to fix the issues the predecessor Bush era program known as the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) which was also struck down by the Courts. In the Obama Administrations second term, EPA will once again attempt to fix this massive regulation.
- Fracking Regulation- The natural gas industry continue to boom in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia. The massive reserves found in the Marcellus and Utica Shale formations promise to provide home grown energy for a century. Fracking is used to access these deep reserves that were previously not accessible. Fracking uses deep wells and then breaks up the rock to release the gas. Environmentalists are very concerned with the air emissions, water pollution and potential to contaminate groundwater from the fracking process. The Obama Administration moved slowly in putting in place new regulations in his first term. EPA did establish federal air permitting requirements for new wells. The Obama Administration also created a federal agency fracking working group to look at the process and recommend new regulations and coordinate between federal agencies. It is very likely that in a second term will be proactive developing new regulation.
- Support for Renewable Energy- The Obama Administration is likely to continue its strong support for renewable energy like wind, solar and biomass. Its possible the President will explore a federal renewable energy standard similar to the renewable energy portfolio standards (RPS) imposed in many states. An RPS mandates a certain percentage of power production must be provided by renewable energy sources. It is possible the President will try and impose such a mandate nationally. This still seems unlikely given the make up of Congress. More likely is that the Obama Administration will continue financial support for the industry through tax breaks, grants and loans.
- Boiler MACT- In a second term, President Obama is likely to implement long-delayed emissions regulations for industrial boilers that apply to a whole array of industry. The Boiler MACT (Maximum Achievable Control Technology), was proposed in 2004 before being delayed by litigation in the Courts. EPA issued a new proposal in 2011 which was again delay due to controversy surrounding the sweeping new standards. EPA may issue the final rules as soon as December.
- The Role of the Courts- Many of the areas of regulation discussed above are involved in protracted litigation. Challenges to climate change regulation are still pending. EPA's re-write of CASPR will be challenged again. There could be more challenges to the final boiler MACT rule. The final ozone rule will almost certainly be challenged. The petroleum industry will likely challenge any new fracking regulation. Overall, the second term will not only see significant new regulation but major uncertainty as proposals, both new and old, will be challenged in the Courts. Businesses like certainty. In the world of environmental regulation that almost never seems to be the case.
It is worth noting that an improvement of 1 ug/m3 is quite significant.
However, this projection is based upon a major assumption- all currently proposed federal air pollution rules remain effective. Many of these rules are highly controversial and face legal as well as political challenges. The federal rules EPA considered in place for purpose of the modeling include: the Cross State Air Pollution Rule (power plans), the Mercury and AIr Toxics Standard (power plants) and various emissions standards for vehicles, aircraft, locomotives and ships.
EPA is proposing a whole series of new inspection and testing requirements for underground storage tanks (USTs). By expanding the types of UST systems covered under the rules, EPA is proposing to extend application of all UST regulations to entities not previously regulated, such as hospitals and universities.
On February 11, 2011, EPA issued two rules regulating hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) from thousands of industrial sources. First, the "Boiler MACT" imposed standards on industrial, commercial and institutional boilers and process heaters. Second, the "CISWI" imposed standards on commercial and industrial solid waste incinerators.
Chart shows Pennsylvania's ten fold increase in natural gas power generation. In a decade, natural gas has gone from 2% of Pennsylvania's power generation to 17%.
Back in June, the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case of
Even more importantly, I learned that the states, in reality, have far less ability to institute regulations that reduce smog then the federal EPA. This is because much of the nonattainment problem is attributable to interstate pollution. Also, much of it comes from vehicles for which there is very little ability to reduce emissions through state regulation. The last decade has demonstrated that federal regulations directed at vehicles and interstate pollution are much more effective in reducing ozone levels than negligible benefits achieved through state regulation.
For over three years, U.S. EPA had been moving toward a seismic shift in how it regulated stormwater run-off from construction sites. For the first time, U.S. EPA tried to impose a numeric permit limit on the turbidity of water (sediment mixed with water) that leaves construction sites following rain events. EPA 's efforts are the result of a 2004 lawsuit by environmental group who obtained a
On March 21, 2011, U.S. EPA issued
The U.S. Supreme Court issued two landmark decisions,
The U.S. Chamber commissioned 
It will be very difficult to pass through the Senate the aggressive measures that will likely be included in the House bill. Only the proposed 2 year delay of implementation is likely to pass the Senate. Even if something does pass, the legislative efforts appear futile based on comments in
Back in 2007, U.S. EPA was sued by some States and environmental groups who challenged the legitimacy of the ozone standard -75 parts per billion (ppb)- selected by the Bush Administration. In 2009, the Obama Administration announced that it was reconsidering the 75 ppb standard.

By all accounts, Republicans are set to enjoy major gains in both the House and Senate following midterm elections. Speculation is that the Republicans could likely regain control of the House and could even get close in the Senate.
On June 4, 2010, U.S. EPA released its much anticipated
Abandoned or Vacant Gas Stations
After this summer's anti-climatic end to federal climate change legislation, some thought that perhaps there would be a temporary end of the discussion of climate change regulation. However, recent weather events (wildfires in Russia, floods in Pakistan and an ice sheet breaking off Greenland) and extreme heat have reinvigorated the debate.
Reading the document, the EJ document is strinkingly similar to past efforts by EPA. It really seems to boil down to two requirements that fall onto EPA staff.
Assuming the state of Ohio has only three utilities companies operating in the State. Hypothetically, it has a State budget under the Transport Rule of 90 tons. In 2014, actual emissions in the State (120 tons) exceed its budget by 30 tons.
U.S. EPA released is long awaited replacement rule for the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) which was the controversial cap and trade program for coal-fired utilities.
As reported in the
Greenhouse Gas Regulation Commences January 2, 2011 without Legislation
I have been on all sides of the fence relative to environmental enforcement actions. I have represented the State, managed Ohio EPA enforcement program and now I represent companies who find themselves the subject of enforcement. These experiences have given me valuable insight into what things to do and not to do when dealing with compliance oversight.
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Any business spending money on an environmental investigation or on clean up at property they own examine closely a federal tax incentive which is set to expire December 31, 2009. The incentive allows environmental clean up costs to be fully deductible in the year they are incurred, rather than having to be capitalized and spread over a period of years.
U.S. EPA has initiated the process for determining what controls it will require should it finalize its proposal to regulate large industrial sources of greenhouse gases (GHGs). As discussed in a
The first step to establishment of a comprehensive climate change regulatory program has been completed by U.S. EPA . On September 22nd, the Agency finalized its rule on 

The Federal Court of Appeals (2nd Circuit) issued a major
The Obama Administration announced it would review the revised ozone standard of .75 ppb that was previously established by the Bush Administration. The Obama Administration has said if they decide to revise the ozone standard below .75 ppb they will announce it by December of 2009 and finalize the standard by August 2010. 
More rumblings that EPA may move forward with regulation of greenhouse gases under its existing authority under the Clean Air Act. It appears EPA has started to rattle its saber in an effort to re-energize the cap-and-trade proposal currently in the Senate.
As reported in BNA and referenced in
Back in 2006, while I was still at Ohio EPA, a major piece of state legislation worked its way through the General Assembly. Senate Bill 265 was developed by business groups in Ohio to address concerns with the structure and implementation of Ohio air pollution permitting programs. The main target to be fixed was the requirement for all non-federally regulated air sources to install Best Available technology (BAT).
On June 18th the
On Monday, the .jpg)


As an indication the New Source Review (NSR) enforcement actions are alive and well, today an Indiana federal court has ordered the shut down of units that triggered NSR and failed to install controls. In addition, the Court required Cinergy to surrender allowances to compensate for "irreparable harm" caused by the operation of the units in violation of the Clean Air Act
U.S. EPA's Office of Inspector General released a report regarding the effects of the Supreme Court's decision in Rapanos on enforcement of Section 404 of the Clean Water Act. The report, titled Comments Related to Effects Jurisdictional Uncertainty On Clean Water Act Implementation, contains some interesting observations and discussion. Bottomline, the lack of clarity for determining whether wetlands or waterways fall within the jurisdiction of the Clean Water Act has led to U.S. EPA dropping hundred of enforcement cases.
As reported by the AP,
Democratic leaders of the US House Energy and Commerce Committee agreed to hold another hearing on climate change legislation on May 1. As discussed by commentators with the 
The American Reinvestment and Recovery Act (ARRA) contains the highest federal funding yet for the 5 r's of diesel- retrofits, replacements, repowers, replace and refuel. The competitive announcements for the ARRA Funding for National Diesel Emissions Reduction Program became available on March 20, 2009. Better get your act together if you still want an application in- the deadline is April 28th to submit a request for funding. If you can't make the deadline there will be normal funding available ($60 million) in the fall.
On April 1st, the U.S. Supreme Court issued its decision in
House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman
Hurry up and get your site in line by Monday March 30th with the State of Ohio for possible additional federal brownfield money to support your project. The State is only looking for "shovel ready" sites. This means the types of brownfield sites that may be able to secure the $200,000 federal brownfield stimulus money are limited.
In accordance with the FY2008 Consolidated Appropriations Act,
Greenwire obtained a leaked copy of a
I have been following discussion regarding the green elements of the
Presidents Stimulus Package, known as the 
There has been major developments as a result of litigation, policy, rulemaking and legislation in the last few weeks relating to climate change and coal fired power plants. Some changes are a result of outstanding litigation. However, the most significant changes are indicative of the sea change that is occurring at the federal level under the Obama Administration relative to climate change.
In remarks titled "from peril to progress", the President set forth bold action yesterday that will inevitably lead to full regulation of CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions. The President ordered a "vigorous review" of California's request to regulate greenhouse gas emissions which had been previously denied by the Bush Administration.
On 


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All the recent climate change related litigation has overshadowed major activity around control of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) from coal plants. Mercury is one such HAP. Back in February 8, 2008 in 

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Recently, there has been quite a buzz around the issue of using the existing authority in the Clean Air Act to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. In July, 

I participated today in a Midwest Air Quality Workshop in Chicago. At the workshop, Bill Harnett from U.S. EPA's
Lets get everyone up to speed with events on regulation of greenhouse gases (GHGs) including CO2:


The 
Have you measured your company's carbon footprint yet? Don't worry if you haven't, in the wild west that is climate change sometimes it pays to wait and see how things shake out. For instance, who would have thought just picking an accounting method for measuring greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions would be so complicated.
(The adjacent map shows those states and Canadian provinces who have endorsed the use of the Climate Registry) However, until US EPA weighs in, you are still risking having to make adjustments to your calculation of GHG emissions. Fortunately, the sheriff is about to ride into town.
In my prior posts on CAIR, I analyzed the real world impacts of the Court's decision to vacate the program. In my final post on CAIR, I highlight some of the legal implications from the Court's decision on business and policy makers. This is not meant to be a legal brief for lawyers, but rather a quick summary of what matters most from the CAIR decision.
Another consequence of the absence of a CAIR like program will be a lot more litigation between the states. It won't just be North Carolina or the East Coast suing upwind sources. Even Ohio may be suing its neighbors like Indiana to try and force additional reductions. 
All this points to the need for Congressional action to replace CAIR to avoid a serious and costly problem for the State's and businesses. Unfortunately, any action is very unlikely until we have a new President.
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Ohio EPA recently received a